Fantasy · Week 7 · Start or sit
Josh Downs Or Kendrick Bourne?
Our week 7 call from the head-to-head model, for PPR scoring. It updates as news and lines move.
Our call
Too close to call
Too close to call on projections (7.4 vs 7.1). If you're ahead this week take the higher floor; if you're chasing points take the higher ceiling. If you have to pick one, the numbers lean Josh Downs (51%).
Josh Downs outscores Kendrick Bourne 51% of the time; Kendrick Bourne 49%.
WR, IND at MIN
7.4 projected PPR points
Likely range 3–13 · WR39 this week · Bench
Bench. MIN's defense has allowed 20% fewer points to WRs than the league average.
WR, ARI vs DEN
7.1 projected PPR points
Likely range 3–12 · WR41 this week · Bench
Bench. ARI's offense is expected to score only about 20 points, a tough scoring spot.
Side by side
| Josh Downs | Kendrick Bourne | |
|---|---|---|
| 7.4 | Projected points | 7.1 |
| 3.0 | Floor (a bad day) | 2.8 |
| 12.7 | Ceiling (a big day) | 12.2 |
| MIN -20% | Matchup | DEN -11% |
| ~18 pts | Team's expected score | ~20 pts |
| Healthy | Health | Healthy |
| Steady | Recent form | Steady |
| High | Our confidence | High |
Open this matchup in the start/sit tool to switch to half-PPR or standard, or to say whether you're protecting a lead or need a big game.
Related matchups this week
The chance is a model estimate that treats the two scores as independent. Fantasy scoring is noisy, so even a 70% call loses three times in ten. Projections are estimates, not guarantees. How it works.