Fantasy · Week 7 · Start or sit
Jaylin Noel Or Ryan Flournoy?
Our week 7 call from the head-to-head model, for PPR scoring. It updates as news and lines move.
Our call
Too close to call
Too close to call on projections (9.1 vs 8.3). If you're ahead this week take the higher floor; if you're chasing points take the higher ceiling. If you have to pick one, the numbers lean Jaylin Noel (53%).
Jaylin Noel outscores Ryan Flournoy 53% of the time; Ryan Flournoy 47%.
WR, HOU vs NYG
9.1 projected PPR points
Likely range 4–16 · WR29 this week · Flex
Flex option. Scored 20.7 points last game against a typical 3.6 (trending up).
WR, DAL at PHI
8.3 projected PPR points
Likely range 3–14 · WR31 this week · Flex
Flex option. Scored 17 points last game against a typical 6.7 (trending up).
Side by side
| Jaylin Noel | Ryan Flournoy | |
|---|---|---|
| 9.1 | Projected points | 8.3 |
| 3.6 | Floor (a bad day) | 3.3 |
| 15.7 | Ceiling (a big day) | 14.3 |
| NYG +4% | Matchup | PHI +1% |
| ~26 pts | Team's expected score | ~25 pts |
| Healthy | Health | Healthy |
| Hot ▲ | Recent form | Hot ▲ |
| High | Our confidence | High |
Open this matchup in the start/sit tool to switch to half-PPR or standard, or to say whether you're protecting a lead or need a big game.
Related matchups this week
The chance is a model estimate that treats the two scores as independent. Fantasy scoring is noisy, so even a 70% call loses three times in ten. Projections are estimates, not guarantees. How it works.