Fantasy · Week 5 · Start or sit
Jayden Daniels or Justin Herbert?
Our week 5 call from the head-to-head model, for PPR scoring. It updates as news and lines move.
Our call
Too close to call
Too close to call on projections (13.5 vs 12.2). If you're ahead this week take the higher floor; if you're chasing points take the higher ceiling. If you have to pick one, the numbers lean Jayden Daniels (54%).
Jayden Daniels outscores Justin Herbert 54% of the time; Justin Herbert 46%.
QB, WAS vs NYG
13.5 projected PPR points
Likely range 7–21 · QB18 this week · Bench
Bench. Wind of 15 mph can hurt the passing game.
QB, LAC vs DEN
12.2 projected PPR points
Likely range 6–19 · QB20 this week · Bench
Bench. Scored 9.6 points last game against a typical 15.9 (trending down).
Side by side
| Jayden Daniels | Justin Herbert | |
|---|---|---|
| 13.5 | Projected points | 12.2 |
| 7.0 | Floor (a bad day) | 6.3 |
| 21.3 | Ceiling (a big day) | 19.2 |
| NYG +5% | Matchup | DEN -8% |
| ~23 pts | Team's expected score | ~19 pts |
| Healthy | Health | Healthy |
| Steady | Recent form | Cold ▼ |
| Medium | Our confidence | High |
Open this matchup in the start/sit tool to switch to half-PPR or standard, or to say whether you're protecting a lead or need a big game.
Related matchups this week
The chance is a model estimate that treats the two scores as independent. Fantasy scoring is noisy, so even a 70% call loses three times in ten. Projections are estimates, not guarantees. How it works.