Fantasy · Week 7 · Start or sit
Jameis Winston Or Malik Willis?
Our week 7 call from the head-to-head model, for PPR scoring. It updates as news and lines move.
Our call
Too close to call
Too close to call on projections (11.8 vs 11.7). If you're ahead this week take the higher floor; if you're chasing points take the higher ceiling. If you have to pick one, the numbers lean Jameis Winston (50%).
Jameis Winston outscores Malik Willis 50% of the time; Malik Willis 50%.
QB, NYG at HOU
11.8 projected PPR points
Likely range 6–19 · QB23 this week · Bench
Bench. NYG's offense is expected to score only about 16 points, a tough scoring spot.
QB, MIA at NYJ
11.7 projected PPR points
Likely range 6–18 · QB24 this week · Bench
Bench. MIA's offense is expected to score only about 17 points, a tough scoring spot.
Side by side
| Jameis Winston | Malik Willis | |
|---|---|---|
| 11.8 | Projected points | 11.7 |
| 6.1 | Floor (a bad day) | 6.1 |
| 18.6 | Ceiling (a big day) | 18.4 |
| HOU -8% | Matchup | NYJ +8% |
| ~16 pts | Team's expected score | ~17 pts |
| Healthy | Health | Healthy |
| Steady | Recent form | Hot ▲ |
| High | Our confidence | High |
Open this matchup in the start/sit tool to switch to half-PPR or standard, or to say whether you're protecting a lead or need a big game.
Related matchups this week
The chance is a model estimate that treats the two scores as independent. Fantasy scoring is noisy, so even a 70% call loses three times in ten. Projections are estimates, not guarantees. How it works.