Fantasy · Week 5 · Start or sit
Jacory Croskey-Merritt or Tony Pollard?
Our week 5 call from the head-to-head model, for PPR scoring. It updates as news and lines move.
Our call
Too close to call
Too close to call on projections (8.3 vs 8.8). If you're ahead this week take the higher floor; if you're chasing points take the higher ceiling. If you have to pick one, the numbers lean Tony Pollard (52%).
Jacory Croskey-Merritt outscores Tony Pollard 48% of the time; Tony Pollard 52%.
RB, WAS vs NYG
8.3 projected PPR points
Likely range 4–14 · RB26 this week · Flex
Flex option. Projected 8.3 points, #26 among RBs this week.
RB, TEN vs HOU
8.8 projected PPR points
Likely range 4–14 · RB24 this week · Flex
Flex option. Projected 8.8 points, #24 among RBs this week.
Side by side
| Jacory Croskey-Merritt | Tony Pollard | |
|---|---|---|
| 8.3 | Projected points | 8.8 |
| 4.0 | Floor (a bad day) | 4.2 |
| 13.5 | Ceiling (a big day) | 14.3 |
| NYG +11% | Matchup | HOU -12% |
| ~23 pts | Team's expected score | ~16 pts |
| Healthy | Health | Healthy |
| Steady | Recent form | Steady |
| High | Our confidence | High |
Open this matchup in the start/sit tool to switch to half-PPR or standard, or to say whether you're protecting a lead or need a big game.
Related matchups this week
The chance is a model estimate that treats the two scores as independent. Fantasy scoring is noisy, so even a 70% call loses three times in ten. Projections are estimates, not guarantees. How it works.