Fantasy · Week 9 · Start or sit
Emmett Johnson Or J.K. Dobbins?
Our week 9 call from the head-to-head model, for PPR scoring. It updates as news and lines move.
Our call
Too close to call
Too close to call on projections (6.0 vs 6.2). If you're ahead this week take the higher floor; if you're chasing points take the higher ceiling. If you have to pick one, the numbers lean J.K. Dobbins (51%).
Emmett Johnson outscores J.K. Dobbins 49% of the time; J.K. Dobbins 51%.
RB, KC vs NYJ
6.0 projected PPR points
Likely range 3–10 · RB39 this week · Bench
Bench. Projected 6.0 points, 0.6 behind #32, the last one we'd start.
RB, DEN at CAR
6.2 projected PPR points
Likely range 3–10 · RB38 this week · Bench
Bench. Scored 1.3 points last game against a typical 9.7 (trending down).
Side by side
| Emmett Johnson | J.K. Dobbins | |
|---|---|---|
| 6.0 | Projected points | 6.2 |
| 2.9 | Floor (a bad day) | 3.0 |
| 9.7 | Ceiling (a big day) | 10.1 |
| NYJ +13% | Matchup | CAR +19% |
| ~29 pts | Team's expected score | ~24 pts |
| Healthy | Health | Healthy |
| Hot ▲ | Recent form | Cold ▼ |
| High | Our confidence | High |
Open this matchup in the start/sit tool to switch to half-PPR or standard, or to say whether you're protecting a lead or need a big game.
Related matchups this week
The chance is a model estimate that treats the two scores as independent. Fantasy scoring is noisy, so even a 70% call loses three times in ten. Projections are estimates, not guarantees. How it works.