Fantasy · Week 9 · Start or sit
Dylan Sampson Or Kendre Miller?
Our week 9 call from the head-to-head model, for PPR scoring. It updates as news and lines move.
Our call
Too close to call
Too close to call on projections (6.7 vs 6.6). If you're ahead this week take the higher floor; if you're chasing points take the higher ceiling. If you have to pick one, the numbers lean Dylan Sampson (51%).
Dylan Sampson outscores Kendre Miller 51% of the time; Kendre Miller 49%.
RB, CLE at NO
6.7 projected PPR points
Likely range 3–11 · RB31 this week · Flex
Flex option. Scored 12.9 points last game against a typical 5.2 (trending up).
RB, NO vs CLE
6.6 projected PPR points
Likely range 3–11 · RB33 this week · Bench
Bench. Projected 6.6 points, 0.0 behind #32, the last one we'd start.
Side by side
| Dylan Sampson | Kendre Miller | |
|---|---|---|
| 6.7 | Projected points | 6.6 |
| 3.2 | Floor (a bad day) | 3.2 |
| 10.9 | Ceiling (a big day) | 10.7 |
| NO +14% | Matchup | CLE -2% |
| ~20 pts | Team's expected score | ~23 pts |
| Healthy | Health | Healthy |
| Hot ▲ | Recent form | Steady |
| High | Our confidence | High |
They play in the same game, so their scores tend to rise and fall together. The probability above treats them as independent.
Open this matchup in the start/sit tool to switch to half-PPR or standard, or to say whether you're protecting a lead or need a big game.
Related matchups this week
The chance is a model estimate that treats the two scores as independent. Fantasy scoring is noisy, so even a 70% call loses three times in ten. Projections are estimates, not guarantees. How it works.