Fantasy · Week 6 · Start or sit
DK Metcalf or Keon Coleman?
Our week 6 call from the head-to-head model, for PPR scoring. It updates as news and lines move.
Our call
Too close to call
Too close to call on projections (10.0 vs 9.9). If you're ahead this week take the higher floor; if you're chasing points take the higher ceiling. If you have to pick one, the numbers lean DK Metcalf (50%).
DK Metcalf outscores Keon Coleman 50% of the time; Keon Coleman 50%.
WR, PIT at TB
10.0 projected PPR points
Likely range 4–17 · WR21 this week · Start
Start. Roman Wilson out: more work to go around (about +1.3 points).
WR, BUF at LV
9.9 projected PPR points
Likely range 4–17 · WR23 this week · Start
Start. BUF's offense is expected to score about 30 points, a strong scoring spot.
Side by side
| DK Metcalf | Keon Coleman | |
|---|---|---|
| 10.0 | Projected points | 9.9 |
| 4.0 | Floor (a bad day) | 4.0 |
| 17.2 | Ceiling (a big day) | 17.0 |
| TB -1% | Matchup | LV +5% |
| ~21 pts | Team's expected score | ~30 pts |
| Healthy | Health | Healthy |
| Cold ▼ | Recent form | Steady |
| High | Our confidence | High |
Open this matchup in the start/sit tool to switch to half-PPR or standard, or to say whether you're protecting a lead or need a big game.
Related matchups this week
The chance is a model estimate that treats the two scores as independent. Fantasy scoring is noisy, so even a 70% call loses three times in ten. Projections are estimates, not guarantees. How it works.