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Fantasy · Week 7 · Start or sit

Deshaun Watson Or Kirk Cousins?

Our week 7 call from the head-to-head model, for PPR scoring. It updates as news and lines move.

Our call

Too close to call

Too close to call on projections (13.1 vs 14.0). If you're ahead this week take the higher floor; if you're chasing points take the higher ceiling. If you have to pick one, the numbers lean Kirk Cousins (52%).

Deshaun Watson outscores Kirk Cousins 48% of the time; Kirk Cousins 52%.

Deshaun Watson

QB, CLE at TEN

13.1 projected PPR points

Likely range 7–21 · QB18 this week · Bench

Bench. Projected 13.1 points, 2.3 behind #12, the last one we'd start.

Kirk Cousins

QB, LV vs LA

14.0 projected PPR points

Likely range 7–22 · QB16 this week · Bench

Bench. Projected 14.0 points, 1.4 behind #12, the last one we'd start.

Side by side

Deshaun Watson Kirk Cousins
13.1Projected points14.0
6.8Floor (a bad day)7.3
20.6Ceiling (a big day)22.1
TEN +4%MatchupLA -5%
~20 ptsTeam's expected score~22 pts
HealthyHealthHealthy
SteadyRecent formHot ▲
HighOur confidenceHigh

Open this matchup in the start/sit tool to switch to half-PPR or standard, or to say whether you're protecting a lead or need a big game.

Related matchups this week

The chance is a model estimate that treats the two scores as independent. Fantasy scoring is noisy, so even a 70% call loses three times in ten. Projections are estimates, not guarantees. How it works.