Fantasy · Week 9 · Start or sit
Derrick Henry Or Tyler Allgeier?
Our week 9 call from the head-to-head model, for PPR scoring. It updates as news and lines move.
Our call
Too close to call
Too close to call on projections (12.7 vs 12.6). If you're ahead this week take the higher floor; if you're chasing points take the higher ceiling. If you have to pick one, the numbers lean Derrick Henry (50%).
Derrick Henry outscores Tyler Allgeier 50% of the time; Tyler Allgeier 50%.
RB, BAL vs JAX
12.7 projected PPR points
Likely range 6–21 · RB17 this week · Start
Start. Projected 12.7 points, #17 among RBs this week.
RB, ARI at SEA
12.6 projected PPR points
Likely range 6–21 · RB18 this week · Start
Start. Scored 36.1 points last game against a typical 6.5 (trending up).
Side by side
| Derrick Henry | Tyler Allgeier | |
|---|---|---|
| 12.7 | Projected points | 12.6 |
| 6.1 | Floor (a bad day) | 6.0 |
| 20.6 | Ceiling (a big day) | 20.5 |
| JAX -20% | Matchup | SEA -8% |
| ~15 pts | Team's expected score | ~16 pts |
| Healthy | Health | Healthy |
| Steady | Recent form | Hot ▲ |
| High | Our confidence | High |
Open this matchup in the start/sit tool to switch to half-PPR or standard, or to say whether you're protecting a lead or need a big game.
Related matchups this week
The chance is a model estimate that treats the two scores as independent. Fantasy scoring is noisy, so even a 70% call loses three times in ten. Projections are estimates, not guarantees. How it works.