Fantasy · Week 6 · Start or sit
Denzel Boston or DK Metcalf?
Our week 6 call from the head-to-head model, for PPR scoring. It updates as news and lines move.
Our call
Too close to call
Too close to call on projections (10.0 vs 9.9). If you're ahead this week take the higher floor; if you're chasing points take the higher ceiling. If you have to pick one, the numbers lean Denzel Boston (50%).
Denzel Boston outscores DK Metcalf 50% of the time; DK Metcalf 50%.
WR, CLE vs BAL
10.0 projected PPR points
Likely range 4–17 · WR22 this week · Start
Start. Scored 13.6 points last game against a typical 4.9 (trending up).
WR, PIT at TB
9.9 projected PPR points
Likely range 4–17 · WR23 this week · Start
Start. Roman Wilson out: more work to go around (about +1.3 points).
Side by side
| Denzel Boston | DK Metcalf | |
|---|---|---|
| 10.0 | Projected points | 9.9 |
| 4.0 | Floor (a bad day) | 4.0 |
| 17.2 | Ceiling (a big day) | 17.0 |
| BAL +15% | Matchup | TB -1% |
| ~18 pts | Team's expected score | ~20 pts |
| Healthy | Health | Healthy |
| Hot ▲ | Recent form | Cold ▼ |
| High | Our confidence | High |
Open this matchup in the start/sit tool to switch to half-PPR or standard, or to say whether you're protecting a lead or need a big game.
Related matchups this week
The chance is a model estimate that treats the two scores as independent. Fantasy scoring is noisy, so even a 70% call loses three times in ten. Projections are estimates, not guarantees. How it works.