Fantasy · Week 7 · Start or sit
DeMario Douglas Or Justin Jefferson?
Our week 7 call from the head-to-head model, for PPR scoring. It updates as news and lines move.
Our call
Too close to call
Too close to call on projections (11.2 vs 10.9). If you're ahead this week take the higher floor; if you're chasing points take the higher ceiling. If you have to pick one, the numbers lean DeMario Douglas (51%).
DeMario Douglas outscores Justin Jefferson 51% of the time; Justin Jefferson 49%.
WR, NE at CHI
11.2 projected PPR points
Likely range 5–19 · WR21 this week · Start
Start. Scored 19.6 points last game against a typical 5.3 (trending up).
WR, MIN vs IND
10.9 projected PPR points
Likely range 4–19 · WR23 this week · Start
Start. Scored 18.8 points last game against a typical 10.6 (trending up).
Side by side
| DeMario Douglas | Justin Jefferson | |
|---|---|---|
| 11.2 | Projected points | 10.9 |
| 4.5 | Floor (a bad day) | 4.4 |
| 19.3 | Ceiling (a big day) | 18.7 |
| CHI +10% | Matchup | IND +8% |
| ~24 pts | Team's expected score | ~24 pts |
| Healthy | Health | Healthy |
| Hot ▲ | Recent form | Hot ▲ |
| High | Our confidence | High |
Open this matchup in the start/sit tool to switch to half-PPR or standard, or to say whether you're protecting a lead or need a big game.
Related matchups this week
The chance is a model estimate that treats the two scores as independent. Fantasy scoring is noisy, so even a 70% call loses three times in ten. Projections are estimates, not guarantees. How it works.