Fantasy · Week 6 · Start or sit
DeMario Douglas or Josh Downs?
Our week 6 call from the head-to-head model, for PPR scoring. It updates as news and lines move.
Our call
Too close to call
Too close to call on projections (7.7 vs 7.9). If you're ahead this week take the higher floor; if you're chasing points take the higher ceiling. If you have to pick one, the numbers lean Josh Downs (51%).
DeMario Douglas outscores Josh Downs 49% of the time; Josh Downs 51%.
WR, NE vs NYJ
7.7 projected PPR points
Likely range 3–13 · WR38 this week · Bench
Bench. Projected 7.7 points, 0.2 behind #36, the last one we'd start.
WR, IND vs TEN
7.9 projected PPR points
Likely range 3–14 · WR37 this week · Bench
Bench. Projected 7.9 points, 0.0 behind #36, the last one we'd start.
Side by side
| DeMario Douglas | Josh Downs | |
|---|---|---|
| 7.7 | Projected points | 7.9 |
| 3.1 | Floor (a bad day) | 3.2 |
| 13.2 | Ceiling (a big day) | 13.6 |
| NYJ -5% | Matchup | TEN +14% |
| ~26 pts | Team's expected score | ~26 pts |
| Healthy | Health | Healthy |
| Hot ▲ | Recent form | Steady |
| High | Our confidence | High |
Open this matchup in the start/sit tool to switch to half-PPR or standard, or to say whether you're protecting a lead or need a big game.
Related matchups this week
The chance is a model estimate that treats the two scores as independent. Fantasy scoring is noisy, so even a 70% call loses three times in ten. Projections are estimates, not guarantees. How it works.