Fantasy · Week 5 · Start or sit
Dalton Schultz or Isaiah Likely?
Our week 5 call from the head-to-head model, for PPR scoring. It updates as news and lines move.
Our call
Too close to call
Too close to call on projections (7.7 vs 8.6). If you're ahead this week take the higher floor; if you're chasing points take the higher ceiling. If you have to pick one, the numbers lean Isaiah Likely (53%).
Dalton Schultz outscores Isaiah Likely 47% of the time; Isaiah Likely 53%.
TE, HOU at TEN
7.7 projected PPR points
Likely range 3–14 · TE15 this week · Flex
Flex option. Projected 7.7 points, #15 among TEs this week.
TE, NYG at WAS
8.6 projected PPR points
Likely range 3–15 · TE13 this week · Flex
Flex option. Scored 13.6 points last game against a typical 4.4 (trending up).
Side by side
| Dalton Schultz | Isaiah Likely | |
|---|---|---|
| 7.7 | Projected points | 8.6 |
| 2.8 | Floor (a bad day) | 3.1 |
| 13.6 | Ceiling (a big day) | 15.2 |
| TEN -4% | Matchup | WAS +25% |
| ~23 pts | Team's expected score | ~19 pts |
| Healthy | Health | Healthy |
| Cold ▼ | Recent form | Hot ▲ |
| High | Our confidence | High |
Open this matchup in the start/sit tool to switch to half-PPR or standard, or to say whether you're protecting a lead or need a big game.
Related matchups this week
The chance is a model estimate that treats the two scores as independent. Fantasy scoring is noisy, so even a 70% call loses three times in ten. Projections are estimates, not guarantees. How it works.