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Fantasy · Week 9 · Start or sit

Christian Watson Or DeMario Douglas?

Our week 9 call from the head-to-head model, for PPR scoring. It updates as news and lines move.

Our call

Too close to call

Too close to call on projections (7.8 vs 7.6). If you're ahead this week take the higher floor; if you're chasing points take the higher ceiling. If you have to pick one, the numbers lean Christian Watson (51%).

Christian Watson outscores DeMario Douglas 51% of the time; DeMario Douglas 49%.

Christian Watson

WR, GB at NE · Questionable — rib injury

7.8 projected PPR points

Likely range 0–13 · WR40 this week · Bench

Bench. Questionable — rib injury.

DeMario Douglas

WR, NE vs GB

7.6 projected PPR points

Likely range 3–13 · WR42 this week · Bench

Bench. Projected 7.6 points, 0.3 behind #36, the last one we'd start.

Side by side

Christian Watson DeMario Douglas
7.8Projected points7.6
0.0Floor (a bad day)3.0
13.4Ceiling (a big day)13.1
NE +1%MatchupGB +6%
~21 ptsTeam's expected score~25 pts
Questionable — rib injuryHealthHealthy
Hot ▲Recent formHot ▲
LowOur confidenceHigh

They play in the same game, so their scores tend to rise and fall together. The probability above treats them as independent.

Christian Watson: Questionable — rib injury. Confirm his status before kickoff.

Open this matchup in the start/sit tool to switch to half-PPR or standard, or to say whether you're protecting a lead or need a big game.

Related matchups this week

The chance is a model estimate that treats the two scores as independent. Fantasy scoring is noisy, so even a 70% call loses three times in ten. Projections are estimates, not guarantees. How it works.