Fantasy · Week 6 · Start or sit
Bam Knight or Tyjae Spears?
Our week 6 call from the head-to-head model, for PPR scoring. It updates as news and lines move.
Our call
Too close to call
Too close to call on projections (4.9 vs 5.0). If you're ahead this week take the higher floor; if you're chasing points take the higher ceiling. If you have to pick one, the numbers lean Tyjae Spears (51%).
Bam Knight outscores Tyjae Spears 49% of the time; Tyjae Spears 51%.
RB, ARI at LA
4.9 projected PPR points
Likely range 2–8 · RB38 this week · Bench
Bench. ARI's offense is expected to score only about 20 points, a tough scoring spot.
RB, TEN at IND
5.0 projected PPR points
Likely range 2–8 · RB37 this week · Bench
Bench. TEN's offense is expected to score only about 19 points, a tough scoring spot.
Side by side
| Bam Knight | Tyjae Spears | |
|---|---|---|
| 4.9 | Projected points | 5.0 |
| 2.4 | Floor (a bad day) | 2.4 |
| 8.0 | Ceiling (a big day) | 8.1 |
| LA -8% | Matchup | IND +4% |
| ~20 pts | Team's expected score | ~19 pts |
| Healthy | Health | Healthy |
| Cold ▼ | Recent form | Steady |
| High | Our confidence | High |
Tyjae Spears's game is in progress, so the decision may already be locked.
Open this matchup in the start/sit tool to switch to half-PPR or standard, or to say whether you're protecting a lead or need a big game.
Related matchups this week
The chance is a model estimate that treats the two scores as independent. Fantasy scoring is noisy, so even a 70% call loses three times in ten. Projections are estimates, not guarantees. How it works.