Fantasy · Week 6 · Start or sit
Bam Knight or Justice Hill?
Our week 6 call from the head-to-head model, for PPR scoring. It updates as news and lines move.
Our call
Too close to call
Too close to call on projections (4.9 vs 4.5). If you're ahead this week take the higher floor; if you're chasing points take the higher ceiling. If you have to pick one, the numbers lean Bam Knight (53%).
Bam Knight outscores Justice Hill 53% of the time; Justice Hill 47%.
RB, ARI at LA
4.9 projected PPR points
Likely range 2–8 · RB37 this week · Bench
Bench. ARI's offense is expected to score only about 20 points, a tough scoring spot.
RB, BAL at CLE
4.5 projected PPR points
Likely range 2–7 · RB39 this week · Bench
Bench. Projected 4.5 points, 1.5 behind #32, the last one we'd start.
Side by side
| Bam Knight | Justice Hill | |
|---|---|---|
| 4.9 | Projected points | 4.5 |
| 2.4 | Floor (a bad day) | 2.2 |
| 8.0 | Ceiling (a big day) | 7.3 |
| LA -8% | Matchup | CLE -7% |
| ~20 pts | Team's expected score | ~21 pts |
| Healthy | Health | Healthy |
| Cold ▼ | Recent form | Hot ▲ |
| High | Our confidence | High |
Open this matchup in the start/sit tool to switch to half-PPR or standard, or to say whether you're protecting a lead or need a big game.
Related matchups this week
The chance is a model estimate that treats the two scores as independent. Fantasy scoring is noisy, so even a 70% call loses three times in ten. Projections are estimates, not guarantees. How it works.