Fantasy · Week 6 · Start or sit
Alvin Kamara or MarShawn Lloyd?
Our week 6 call from the head-to-head model, for PPR scoring. It updates as news and lines move.
Our call
Too close to call
Too close to call on projections (9.6 vs 9.4). If you're ahead this week take the higher floor; if you're chasing points take the higher ceiling. If you have to pick one, the numbers lean Alvin Kamara (51%).
Alvin Kamara outscores MarShawn Lloyd 51% of the time; MarShawn Lloyd 49%.
RB, NO at NYG
9.6 projected PPR points
Likely range 5–16 · RB18 this week · Start
Start. Projected 9.6 points, #18 among RBs this week.
RB, GB vs DAL
9.4 projected PPR points
Likely range 5–15 · RB20 this week · Start
Start. Scored 16.7 points last game against a typical 5.5 (trending up).
Side by side
| Alvin Kamara | MarShawn Lloyd | |
|---|---|---|
| 9.6 | Projected points | 9.4 |
| 4.6 | Floor (a bad day) | 4.5 |
| 15.6 | Ceiling (a big day) | 15.3 |
| NYG +10% | Matchup | DAL +15% |
| ~24 pts | Team's expected score | ~28 pts |
| Healthy | Health | Healthy |
| Cold ▼ | Recent form | Hot ▲ |
| High | Our confidence | High |
Open this matchup in the start/sit tool to switch to half-PPR or standard, or to say whether you're protecting a lead or need a big game.
Related matchups this week
The chance is a model estimate that treats the two scores as independent. Fantasy scoring is noisy, so even a 70% call loses three times in ten. Projections are estimates, not guarantees. How it works.