Fantasy · Week 9 · Start or sit
Adonai Mitchell Or Josh Downs?
Our week 9 call from the head-to-head model, for PPR scoring. It updates as news and lines move.
Our call
Too close to call
Too close to call on projections (8.3 vs 8.1). If you're ahead this week take the higher floor; if you're chasing points take the higher ceiling. If you have to pick one, the numbers lean Adonai Mitchell (51%).
Adonai Mitchell outscores Josh Downs 51% of the time; Josh Downs 49%.
WR, NYJ at KC
8.3 projected PPR points
Likely range 3–14 · WR31 this week · Flex
Flex option. Scored 27.2 points last game against a typical 4.9 (trending up).
WR, IND vs DAL
8.1 projected PPR points
Likely range 3–14 · WR32 this week · Flex
Flex option. DAL's defense has allowed 20% more points to WRs than the league average.
Side by side
| Adonai Mitchell | Josh Downs | |
|---|---|---|
| 8.3 | Projected points | 8.1 |
| 3.3 | Floor (a bad day) | 3.2 |
| 14.3 | Ceiling (a big day) | 13.9 |
| KC -16% | Matchup | DAL +20% |
| ~19 pts | Team's expected score | ~23 pts |
| Healthy | Health | Healthy |
| Hot ▲ | Recent form | Hot ▲ |
| High | Our confidence | High |
Open this matchup in the start/sit tool to switch to half-PPR or standard, or to say whether you're protecting a lead or need a big game.
Related matchups this week
The chance is a model estimate that treats the two scores as independent. Fantasy scoring is noisy, so even a 70% call loses three times in ten. Projections are estimates, not guarantees. How it works.