50.8

Season grade

How is this calculated?

Is Matthew Golden playing this week?

No injury designation

Matthew Golden has no injury designation on the latest injury reports for the week 4 game at the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

Kickoff: Sun, Oct 4 · 1:00 PM ET.

Checked Oct 3, 7:36 PM ET against the ESPN injury report and the NFL's official weekly report (via nflverse). Injury news can change up to kickoff, so confirm with the team close to game time.

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Our numbers plus what they can't show: injuries around him, role changes, weather, rest and travel, line moves and the latest reporting, all linked.

Fantasy football · Week 4

Our own start/sit calls for every player, with a projected score, the range of likely outcomes and the reasons spelled out. Built from usage, matchup, Vegas lines and injuries. How we rank

Scoring:
PPRHalf PPRStandard
START#21 WR this weekHigh confidence

Start. Scored 16 points last game against a typical 2.6 (trending up).

Why we say start

  • Projected 6.7 points, #21 among WRs this week, inside the top 24 we recommend starting.
  • Scored 16 points last game against a typical 2.6 (trending up).
  • Averaging 10 targets a game.
  • Played 82% of the offense's snaps last game.

Projected points

6.7

Likely range 3–12: the middle half of outcomes

@ TB · Game page →

Recent form

W1W2W3

Dashed line: the usual 2.6 a game

This week's matchup

Expected team score
~21 pts
Vegas line
GB favored by 3
Game total
38.5
TB vs WRs
4% fewer points
Last game snaps
82%

All week 4 wide receiver rankings →Start or sit tool →How our past calls did →

Age

23

Height

5'11"

Weight

191 lb

College

Texas; Houston

Experience

1 season

Draft

2025 · Pick #23 (GB)

Status

ACT

Grade Breakdown

What do these mean?

Why 50.8?

This grade sits basically in the middle of the pack for wide receivers, and that's because none of the measured pieces stood out — target share, success rate, and points added per target were all close to average for the position. Through just 3 games, the sample is still small.

Written by StatGrades AI from this season's play-by-play through week 3. It explains what happened; a grade isn't a forecast (what grades do and don't predict).

EPA / play

0.222

Success rate

43%

WPA (sum)

0.24

Opponent adj.

0.061

Plays graded

30

Advanced stats

2026 season through Week 3 · tracking data from NFL Next Gen Stats
Separation
2.6
Cushion
6.1
YAC above exp
+1.3
YAC / rec
6.6
Expected YAC
5.3
Air yards share
40.2%
Intended air yds
14.7
Catch %
50.0%
WeekSeparationCushionYAC above exp
12.56.5+1.1
23.84.1+1.6
32.16.8+1.2
What do these mean?
Separation:
Average distance from the nearest defender at the moment of the catch.
Cushion:
Average distance from the nearest defender at the snap.
YAC above exp:
Yards after catch above what the situation would be expected to produce.
YAC / rec:
Average yards after the catch per reception.
Expected YAC:
Expected yards after the catch, based on tracking data.
Air yards share:
Share of the team's intended air yards that were thrown toward this player.
Intended air yds:
Average depth of the targets thrown his way.
Catch %:
Receptions divided by targets.

Next Gen Stats data via nflverse (CC BY 4.0). Updated after games are final, not live, and covers QB, RB, WR and TE.

2026 Season Totals

Swipe sideways for all stats →

TgtRecYdsTDFantasySnapsSnap%ST%Grade
3 games3015253146.316183%0%50.8

Game log

Swipe sideways for all stats →

GameTgtRecYdsTDFantasySnapsSnap%ST%Grade
Wk 3 · ATL125100121.05482%0%57.5
Wk 2 · NYJ645809.85186%0%50.8
Wk 1 · MIN12695015.55682%0%42.5