91.1

Season grade

How is this calculated?

Is Jaxon Smith-Njigba playing this week?

No injury designation

Jaxon Smith-Njigba has no injury designation on the latest injury reports for the week 4 game against the Los Angeles Chargers.

Kickoff: Sun, Oct 4 · 4:25 PM ET.

Checked Oct 3, 7:37 PM ET against the ESPN injury report and the NFL's official weekly report (via nflverse). Injury news can change up to kickoff, so confirm with the team close to game time.

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Our numbers plus what they can't show: injuries around him, role changes, weather, rest and travel, line moves and the latest reporting, all linked.

Fantasy football · Week 4

Our own start/sit calls for every player, with a projected score, the range of likely outcomes and the reasons spelled out. Built from usage, matchup, Vegas lines and injuries. How we rank

Scoring:
PPRHalf PPRStandard
MUST START#1 WR this weekHigh confidence

Must start. Scored 25.4 points last game against a typical 12.7 (trending up).

Why we say must start

  • Projected 17.8 points, #1 among WRs this week, inside the top 8 we call must-starts.
  • Scored 25.4 points last game against a typical 12.7 (trending up).
  • Averaging 12 targets a game.
  • Played 87% of the offense's snaps last game.

Projected points

17.8

Likely range 7–31: the middle half of outcomes

vs LAC · Game page →

Recent form

W1W2W3

Dashed line: the usual 12.7 a game

This week's matchup

Expected team score
~25 pts
Vegas line
SEA favored by 7
Game total
42.5
LAC vs WRs
9% fewer points
Last game snaps
87%

All week 4 wide receiver rankings →Start or sit tool →How our past calls did →

Age

24

Height

6'0"

Weight

198 lb

College

Ohio State

Experience

3 seasons

Draft

2023 · Pick #20 (SEA)

Status

ACT

Grade Breakdown

What do these mean?

Why 91.1?

Smith-Njigba's grade is driven by how much the Seahawks throw to him and how much each target is worth. He gets 36% of the team's targets, the highest among qualifying WRs, and his targets add a lot of expected points. It's only 3 games, so the sample is small.

Lifting the grade

  • EPA per target of +0.769 expected points, 11th of 62, helped by long touchdowns like the 82-yard score from Lock in week 2 vs ARI.
  • Target share of 36%, 1st of 62 receivers.
  • Week 1 vs NE: a 45-yard touchdown on 4th and 1 from Lock (+6.1 expected points).

Written by StatGrades AI from this season's play-by-play through week 3. It explains what happened; a grade isn't a forecast (what grades do and don't predict).

EPA / play

0.805

Success rate

69%

WPA (sum)

0.98

Opponent adj.

-0.035

Plays graded

36

Advanced stats

2026 season through Week 3 · tracking data from NFL Next Gen Stats
Separation
2.6
Cushion
5.5
YAC above exp
+1.1
YAC / rec
4.5
Expected YAC
3.4
Air yards share
54.5%
Intended air yds
10.4
Catch %
75.0%
WeekSeparationCushionYAC above exp
13.16.2+4.3
22.56.1+0.8
32.34.5-1.2
What do these mean?
Separation:
Average distance from the nearest defender at the moment of the catch.
Cushion:
Average distance from the nearest defender at the snap.
YAC above exp:
Yards after catch above what the situation would be expected to produce.
YAC / rec:
Average yards after the catch per reception.
Expected YAC:
Expected yards after the catch, based on tracking data.
Air yards share:
Share of the team's intended air yards that were thrown toward this player.
Intended air yds:
Average depth of the targets thrown his way.
Catch %:
Receptions divided by targets.

Next Gen Stats data via nflverse (CC BY 4.0). Updated after games are final, not live, and covers QB, RB, WR and TE.

2026 Season Totals

Swipe sideways for all stats →

TgtRecYdsTDFantasySnapsSnap%ST%Grade
3 games36274056104.115081%0%91.1

Game log

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GameTgtRecYdsTDFantasySnapsSnap%ST%Grade
Wk 3 · WAS1410128235.45887%0%54.5
Wk 2 · ARI119155342.54767%0%96.2
Wk 1 · NE118122126.24590%0%85.8