Fantasy · Week 6 · Start or sit
Tyler Allgeier or Woody Marks?
Our week 6 call from the head-to-head model, for PPR scoring. It updates as news and lines move.
Our call
Too close to call
Too close to call on projections (8.0 vs 8.9). If you're ahead this week take the higher floor; if you're chasing points take the higher ceiling. If you have to pick one, the numbers lean Woody Marks (54%).
Tyler Allgeier outscores Woody Marks 46% of the time; Woody Marks 54%.
RB, ARI at LA
8.0 projected PPR points
Likely range 4–13 · RB24 this week · Flex
Flex option. Jeremiyah Love out: more work to go around (about +1.7 points).
RB, HOU at JAX
8.9 projected PPR points
Likely range 4–15 · RB22 this week · Flex
Flex option. David Montgomery out: more work to go around (about +1.4 points).
Side by side
| Tyler Allgeier | Woody Marks | |
|---|---|---|
| 8.0 | Projected points | 8.9 |
| 3.8 | Floor (a bad day) | 4.3 |
| 13.0 | Ceiling (a big day) | 14.5 |
| LA -8% | Matchup | JAX -19% |
| ~20 pts | Team's expected score | ~20 pts |
| Healthy | Health | Healthy |
| Steady | Recent form | Hot ▲ |
| High | Our confidence | High |
Open this matchup in the start/sit tool to switch to half-PPR or standard, or to say whether you're protecting a lead or need a big game.
Related matchups this week
The chance is a model estimate that treats the two scores as independent. Fantasy scoring is noisy, so even a 70% call loses three times in ten. Projections are estimates, not guarantees. How it works.