Fantasy · Week 6 · Start or sit
Travis Kelce or Trey McBride?
Our week 6 call from the head-to-head model, for PPR scoring. It updates as news and lines move.
Our call
Start Trey McBride
Trey McBride has about a 57% chance to outscore Travis Kelce (projected 13.7 vs 10.4).
Travis Kelce outscores Trey McBride 43% of the time; Trey McBride 57%.
TE, KC vs LAC
10.4 projected PPR points
Likely range 4–18 · TE6 this week · Start
Start. Rashee Rice out: more work to go around (about +1.6 points).
TE, ARI at LA
13.7 projected PPR points
Likely range 5–24 · TE4 this week · Must start
Must start. Projected 13.7 points, #4 among TEs this week.
Why
- Trey McBride projects 3.3 points higher.
- Trey McBride has been scoring better relative to his usual.
- Trey McBride has the safer floor.
Side by side
| Travis Kelce | Trey McBride | |
|---|---|---|
| 10.4 | Projected points | 13.7 |
| 3.7 | Floor (a bad day) | 4.9 |
| 18.4 | Ceiling (a big day) | 24.2 |
| LAC -24% | Matchup | LA -22% |
| ~25 pts | Team's expected score | ~20 pts |
| Healthy | Health | Healthy |
| Cold ▼ | Recent form | Steady |
| High | Our confidence | High |
Open this matchup in the start/sit tool to switch to half-PPR or standard, or to say whether you're protecting a lead or need a big game.
Related matchups this week
The chance is a model estimate that treats the two scores as independent. Fantasy scoring is noisy, so even a 70% call loses three times in ten. Projections are estimates, not guarantees. How it works.