Fantasy · Week 7 · Start or sit
Rico Dowdle Or Roschon Johnson?
Our week 7 call from the head-to-head model, for PPR scoring. It updates as news and lines move.
Our call
Too close to call
Too close to call on projections (6.3 vs 5.9). If you're ahead this week take the higher floor; if you're chasing points take the higher ceiling. If you have to pick one, the numbers lean Rico Dowdle (52%).
Rico Dowdle outscores Roschon Johnson 52% of the time; Roschon Johnson 48%.
RB, PIT at NO
6.3 projected PPR points
Likely range 3–10 · RB29 this week · Flex
Flex option. NO's defense has allowed 14% more points to RBs than the league average.
RB, CHI vs NE
5.9 projected PPR points
Likely range 3–10 · RB31 this week · Flex
Flex option. Scored 14.5 points last game against a typical 0.2 (trending up).
Side by side
| Rico Dowdle | Roschon Johnson | |
|---|---|---|
| 6.3 | Projected points | 5.9 |
| 3.0 | Floor (a bad day) | 2.8 |
| 10.2 | Ceiling (a big day) | 9.6 |
| NO +14% | Matchup | NE -10% |
| ~24 pts | Team's expected score | ~27 pts |
| Healthy | Health | Healthy |
| Steady | Recent form | Hot ▲ |
| High | Our confidence | High |
Open this matchup in the start/sit tool to switch to half-PPR or standard, or to say whether you're protecting a lead or need a big game.
Related matchups this week
The chance is a model estimate that treats the two scores as independent. Fantasy scoring is noisy, so even a 70% call loses three times in ten. Projections are estimates, not guarantees. How it works.