Fantasy · Week 6 · Start or sit
Luther Burden III or Mike Evans?
Our week 6 call from the head-to-head model, for PPR scoring. It updates as news and lines move.
Our call
Too close to call
Too close to call on projections (9.5 vs 9.3). If you're ahead this week take the higher floor; if you're chasing points take the higher ceiling. If you have to pick one, the numbers lean Luther Burden III (51%).
Luther Burden III outscores Mike Evans 51% of the time; Mike Evans 49%.
WR, CHI at ATL
9.5 projected PPR points
Likely range 4–16 · WR26 this week · Flex
Flex option. CHI's offense is expected to score about 27 points, a strong scoring spot.
WR, SF vs WAS · Questionable — rib injury
9.3 projected PPR points
Likely range 0–16 · WR28 this week · Flex
Flex option if active. Questionable — rib injury.
Side by side
| Luther Burden III | Mike Evans | |
|---|---|---|
| 9.5 | Projected points | 9.3 |
| 3.8 | Floor (a bad day) | 0.0 |
| 16.3 | Ceiling (a big day) | 16.0 |
| ATL +12% | Matchup | WAS +17% |
| ~27 pts | Team's expected score | ~30 pts |
| Healthy | Health | Questionable — rib injury |
| Steady | Recent form | Hot ▲ |
| High | Our confidence | Low |
Mike Evans: Questionable — rib injury. Confirm his status before kickoff.
Open this matchup in the start/sit tool to switch to half-PPR or standard, or to say whether you're protecting a lead or need a big game.
Related matchups this week
The chance is a model estimate that treats the two scores as independent. Fantasy scoring is noisy, so even a 70% call loses three times in ten. Projections are estimates, not guarantees. How it works.