Fantasy · Week 5 · Start or sit
Lan Larison or Ty Johnson?
Our week 5 call from the head-to-head model, for PPR scoring. It updates as news and lines move.
Our call
Too close to call
Too close to call on projections (4.4 vs 4.4). If you're ahead this week take the higher floor; if you're chasing points take the higher ceiling. If you have to pick one, the numbers lean Lan Larison (50%).
Lan Larison outscores Ty Johnson 50% of the time; Ty Johnson 50%.
RB, NE vs LV
4.4 projected PPR points
Likely range 2–7 · RB39 this week · Bench
Bench. Projected 4.4 points, 2.0 behind #32, the last one we'd start.
RB, BUF at LA
4.4 projected PPR points
Likely range 2–7 · RB40 this week · Bench
Bench. LA's defense has allowed 15% fewer points to RBs than the league average.
Side by side
| Lan Larison | Ty Johnson | |
|---|---|---|
| 4.4 | Projected points | 4.4 |
| 2.1 | Floor (a bad day) | 2.1 |
| 7.1 | Ceiling (a big day) | 7.1 |
| LV +2% | Matchup | LA -15% |
| ~25 pts | Team's expected score | ~26 pts |
| Healthy | Health | Healthy |
| Steady | Recent form | Steady |
| Low | Our confidence | High |
Lan Larison's game is over.
Open this matchup in the start/sit tool to switch to half-PPR or standard, or to say whether you're protecting a lead or need a big game.
Related matchups this week
The chance is a model estimate that treats the two scores as independent. Fantasy scoring is noisy, so even a 70% call loses three times in ten. Projections are estimates, not guarantees. How it works.