Fantasy · Week 6 · Start or sit
Keaton Mitchell or Pierre Strong?
Our week 6 call from the head-to-head model, for PPR scoring. It updates as news and lines move.
Our call
Too close to call
Too close to call on projections (5.0 vs 5.1). If you're ahead this week take the higher floor; if you're chasing points take the higher ceiling. If you have to pick one, the numbers lean Pierre Strong (51%).
Keaton Mitchell outscores Pierre Strong 49% of the time; Pierre Strong 51%.
RB, LAC at KC
5.0 projected PPR points
Likely range 2–8 · RB36 this week · Bench
Bench. LAC's offense is expected to score only about 17 points, a tough scoring spot.
RB, GB vs DAL
5.1 projected PPR points
Likely range 2–8 · RB35 this week · Bench
Bench. Projected 5.1 points, 0.9 behind #32, the last one we'd start.
Side by side
| Keaton Mitchell | Pierre Strong | |
|---|---|---|
| 5.0 | Projected points | 5.1 |
| 2.4 | Floor (a bad day) | 2.4 |
| 8.1 | Ceiling (a big day) | 8.3 |
| KC -11% | Matchup | DAL +15% |
| ~17 pts | Team's expected score | ~28 pts |
| Healthy | Health | Healthy |
| Steady | Recent form | Steady |
| High | Our confidence | Low |
Open this matchup in the start/sit tool to switch to half-PPR or standard, or to say whether you're protecting a lead or need a big game.
Related matchups this week
The chance is a model estimate that treats the two scores as independent. Fantasy scoring is noisy, so even a 70% call loses three times in ten. Projections are estimates, not guarantees. How it works.