Fantasy · Week 9 · Start or sit
KC Concepcion Or Michael Wilson?
Our week 9 call from the head-to-head model, for PPR scoring. It updates as news and lines move.
Our call
Too close to call
Too close to call on projections (9.4 vs 9.1). If you're ahead this week take the higher floor; if you're chasing points take the higher ceiling. If you have to pick one, the numbers lean KC Concepcion (51%).
KC Concepcion outscores Michael Wilson 51% of the time; Michael Wilson 49%.
WR, CLE at NO
9.4 projected PPR points
Likely range 4–16 · WR21 this week · Start
Start. Projected 9.4 points, #21 among WRs this week.
WR, ARI at SEA · Questionable — rib injury
9.1 projected PPR points
Likely range 0–16 · WR23 this week · Start
Start if active. Questionable — rib injury.
Side by side
| KC Concepcion | Michael Wilson | |
|---|---|---|
| 9.4 | Projected points | 9.1 |
| 3.8 | Floor (a bad day) | 0.0 |
| 16.2 | Ceiling (a big day) | 15.7 |
| NO -8% | Matchup | SEA -20% |
| ~20 pts | Team's expected score | ~16 pts |
| Healthy | Health | Questionable — rib injury |
| Steady | Recent form | Hot ▲ |
| High | Our confidence | Low |
Michael Wilson: Questionable — rib injury. Confirm his status before kickoff.
Open this matchup in the start/sit tool to switch to half-PPR or standard, or to say whether you're protecting a lead or need a big game.
Related matchups this week
The chance is a model estimate that treats the two scores as independent. Fantasy scoring is noisy, so even a 70% call loses three times in ten. Projections are estimates, not guarantees. How it works.