Fantasy · Week 7 · Start or sit
KC Concepcion Or Marvin Harrison Jr.?
Our week 7 call from the head-to-head model, for PPR scoring. It updates as news and lines move.
Our call
Too close to call
Too close to call on projections (6.8 vs 6.5). If you're ahead this week take the higher floor; if you're chasing points take the higher ceiling. If you have to pick one, the numbers lean KC Concepcion (51%).
KC Concepcion outscores Marvin Harrison Jr. 51% of the time; Marvin Harrison Jr. 49%.
WR, CLE at TEN
6.8 projected PPR points
Likely range 3–12 · WR44 this week · Bench
Bench. Projected 6.8 points, 1.2 behind #36, the last one we'd start.
WR, HOU vs NYG
6.5 projected PPR points
Likely range 3–11 · WR46 this week · Bench
Bench. Projected 6.5 points, #46 among WRs this week.
Side by side
| KC Concepcion | Marvin Harrison Jr. | |
|---|---|---|
| 6.8 | Projected points | 6.5 |
| 2.7 | Floor (a bad day) | 2.6 |
| 11.7 | Ceiling (a big day) | 11.2 |
| TEN +14% | Matchup | NYG +4% |
| ~20 pts | Team's expected score | ~26 pts |
| Healthy | Health | Healthy |
| Steady | Recent form | Steady |
| High | Our confidence | High |
Open this matchup in the start/sit tool to switch to half-PPR or standard, or to say whether you're protecting a lead or need a big game.
Related matchups this week
The chance is a model estimate that treats the two scores as independent. Fantasy scoring is noisy, so even a 70% call loses three times in ten. Projections are estimates, not guarantees. How it works.