Fantasy · Week 9 · Start or sit
Justin Jefferson Or Tetairoa McMillan?
Our week 9 call from the head-to-head model, for PPR scoring. It updates as news and lines move.
Our call
Too close to call
Too close to call on projections (10.9 vs 11.2). If you're ahead this week take the higher floor; if you're chasing points take the higher ceiling. If you have to pick one, the numbers lean Tetairoa McMillan (51%).
Justin Jefferson outscores Tetairoa McMillan 49% of the time; Tetairoa McMillan 51%.
WR, MIN vs BUF
10.9 projected PPR points
Likely range 4–19 · WR16 this week · Start
Start. Projected 10.9 points, #16 among WRs this week.
WR, CAR vs DEN
11.2 projected PPR points
Likely range 5–19 · WR14 this week · Start
Start. Projected 11.2 points, #14 among WRs this week.
Side by side
| Justin Jefferson | Tetairoa McMillan | |
|---|---|---|
| 10.9 | Projected points | 11.2 |
| 4.4 | Floor (a bad day) | 4.5 |
| 18.7 | Ceiling (a big day) | 19.3 |
| BUF +1% | Matchup | DEN -13% |
| ~21 pts | Team's expected score | ~21 pts |
| Healthy | Health | Healthy |
| Steady | Recent form | Steady |
| High | Our confidence | High |
Open this matchup in the start/sit tool to switch to half-PPR or standard, or to say whether you're protecting a lead or need a big game.
Related matchups this week
The chance is a model estimate that treats the two scores as independent. Fantasy scoring is noisy, so even a 70% call loses three times in ten. Projections are estimates, not guarantees. How it works.