Fantasy · Week 5 · Start or sit
Deebo Samuel Sr. or Malik Nabers?
Our week 5 call from the head-to-head model, for PPR scoring. It updates as news and lines move.
Our call
Too close to call
Too close to call on projections (9.8 vs 9.7). If you're ahead this week take the higher floor; if you're chasing points take the higher ceiling. If you have to pick one, the numbers lean Deebo Samuel Sr. (50%).
Deebo Samuel Sr. outscores Malik Nabers 50% of the time; Malik Nabers 50%.
WR, SF at SEA
9.8 projected PPR points
Likely range 4–17 · WR24 this week · Start
Start. Scored 18 points last game against a typical 10.5 (trending up).
WR, NYG at WAS
9.7 projected PPR points
Likely range 4–17 · WR26 this week · Flex
Flex option. Scored 23.2 points last game against a typical 9.5 (trending up).
Side by side
| Deebo Samuel Sr. | Malik Nabers | |
|---|---|---|
| 9.8 | Projected points | 9.7 |
| 3.9 | Floor (a bad day) | 3.9 |
| 16.9 | Ceiling (a big day) | 16.7 |
| SEA -21% | Matchup | WAS +17% |
| ~21 pts | Team's expected score | ~19 pts |
| Healthy | Health | Healthy |
| Hot ▲ | Recent form | Hot ▲ |
| High | Our confidence | High |
Open this matchup in the start/sit tool to switch to half-PPR or standard, or to say whether you're protecting a lead or need a big game.
Related matchups this week
The chance is a model estimate that treats the two scores as independent. Fantasy scoring is noisy, so even a 70% call loses three times in ten. Projections are estimates, not guarantees. How it works.