Fantasy · Week 9 · Start or sit
Christian Watson Or DeVonta Smith?
Our week 9 call from the head-to-head model, for PPR scoring. It updates as news and lines move.
Our call
Too close to call
Too close to call on projections (7.8 vs 7.6). If you're ahead this week take the higher floor; if you're chasing points take the higher ceiling. If you have to pick one, the numbers lean Christian Watson (51%).
Christian Watson outscores DeVonta Smith 51% of the time; DeVonta Smith 49%.
WR, GB at NE · Questionable — rib injury
7.8 projected PPR points
Likely range 0–13 · WR40 this week · Bench
Bench. Questionable — rib injury.
WR, PHI vs NYG · Questionable — hamstring injury
7.6 projected PPR points
Likely range 0–13 · WR42 this week · Bench
Bench. Questionable — hamstring injury.
Side by side
| Christian Watson | DeVonta Smith | |
|---|---|---|
| 7.8 | Projected points | 7.6 |
| 0.0 | Floor (a bad day) | 0.0 |
| 13.4 | Ceiling (a big day) | 13.1 |
| NE +1% | Matchup | NYG +5% |
| ~21 pts | Team's expected score | ~18 pts |
| Questionable — rib injury | Health | Questionable — hamstring injury |
| Hot ▲ | Recent form | Hot ▲ |
| Low | Our confidence | Low |
Christian Watson: Questionable — rib injury. Confirm his status before kickoff.
DeVonta Smith: Questionable — hamstring injury. Confirm his status before kickoff.
Open this matchup in the start/sit tool to switch to half-PPR or standard, or to say whether you're protecting a lead or need a big game.
Related matchups this week
The chance is a model estimate that treats the two scores as independent. Fantasy scoring is noisy, so even a 70% call loses three times in ten. Projections are estimates, not guarantees. How it works.