Fantasy · Week 6 · Start or sit
Cam Ward or Justin Herbert?
Our week 6 call from the head-to-head model, for PPR scoring. It updates as news and lines move.
Our call
Too close to call
Too close to call on projections (10.6 vs 10.9). If you're ahead this week take the higher floor; if you're chasing points take the higher ceiling. If you have to pick one, the numbers lean Justin Herbert (51%).
Cam Ward outscores Justin Herbert 49% of the time; Justin Herbert 51%.
QB, TEN at IND
10.6 projected PPR points
Likely range 6–17 · QB24 this week · Bench
Bench. Scored 5 points last game against a typical 9.8 (trending down).
QB, LAC at KC
10.9 projected PPR points
Likely range 6–17 · QB23 this week · Bench
Bench. Scored 10.2 points last game against a typical 15.9 (trending down).
Side by side
| Cam Ward | Justin Herbert | |
|---|---|---|
| 10.6 | Projected points | 10.9 |
| 5.5 | Floor (a bad day) | 5.7 |
| 16.7 | Ceiling (a big day) | 17.2 |
| IND +11% | Matchup | KC -14% |
| ~19 pts | Team's expected score | ~17 pts |
| Healthy | Health | Healthy |
| Cold ▼ | Recent form | Cold ▼ |
| High | Our confidence | High |
Open this matchup in the start/sit tool to switch to half-PPR or standard, or to say whether you're protecting a lead or need a big game.
Related matchups this week
The chance is a model estimate that treats the two scores as independent. Fantasy scoring is noisy, so even a 70% call loses three times in ten. Projections are estimates, not guarantees. How it works.