Fantasy · Week 7 · Start or sit
Braelon Allen Or Ollie Gordon II?
Our week 7 call from the head-to-head model, for PPR scoring. It updates as news and lines move.
Our call
Too close to call
Too close to call on projections (11.8 vs 12.0). If you're ahead this week take the higher floor; if you're chasing points take the higher ceiling. If you have to pick one, the numbers lean Ollie Gordon II (51%).
Braelon Allen outscores Ollie Gordon II 49% of the time; Ollie Gordon II 51%.
RB, NYJ vs MIA
11.8 projected PPR points
Likely range 6–19 · RB17 this week · Start
Start. Scored 12.4 points last game against a typical 2.6 (trending up).
RB, MIA at NYJ
12.0 projected PPR points
Likely range 6–20 · RB16 this week · Start
Start. Scored 14.8 points last game against a typical 2.8 (trending up).
Side by side
| Braelon Allen | Ollie Gordon II | |
|---|---|---|
| 11.8 | Projected points | 12.0 |
| 5.7 | Floor (a bad day) | 5.8 |
| 19.2 | Ceiling (a big day) | 19.5 |
| MIA +17% | Matchup | NYJ +17% |
| ~22 pts | Team's expected score | ~17 pts |
| Healthy | Health | Healthy |
| Hot ▲ | Recent form | Hot ▲ |
| High | Our confidence | High |
They play in the same game, so their scores tend to rise and fall together. The probability above treats them as independent.
Open this matchup in the start/sit tool to switch to half-PPR or standard, or to say whether you're protecting a lead or need a big game.
Related matchups this week
The chance is a model estimate that treats the two scores as independent. Fantasy scoring is noisy, so even a 70% call loses three times in ten. Projections are estimates, not guarantees. How it works.