Fantasy · Week 7 · Start or sit
Alvin Kamara Or Woody Marks?
Our week 7 call from the head-to-head model, for PPR scoring. It updates as news and lines move.
Our call
Too close to call
Too close to call on projections (8.1 vs 8.2). If you're ahead this week take the higher floor; if you're chasing points take the higher ceiling. If you have to pick one, the numbers lean Woody Marks (50%).
Alvin Kamara outscores Woody Marks 50% of the time; Woody Marks 50%.
RB, NO vs PIT
8.1 projected PPR points
Likely range 4–13 · RB25 this week · Flex
Flex option. Scored 14.9 points last game against a typical 7.7 (trending up).
RB, HOU vs NYG
8.2 projected PPR points
Likely range 4–13 · RB24 this week · Flex
Flex option. HOU's offense is expected to score about 26 points, a strong scoring spot.
Side by side
| Alvin Kamara | Woody Marks | |
|---|---|---|
| 8.1 | Projected points | 8.2 |
| 3.9 | Floor (a bad day) | 3.9 |
| 13.2 | Ceiling (a big day) | 13.3 |
| PIT -8% | Matchup | NYG +11% |
| ~21 pts | Team's expected score | ~26 pts |
| Healthy | Health | Healthy |
| Hot ▲ | Recent form | Steady |
| High | Our confidence | High |
Open this matchup in the start/sit tool to switch to half-PPR or standard, or to say whether you're protecting a lead or need a big game.
Related matchups this week
The chance is a model estimate that treats the two scores as independent. Fantasy scoring is noisy, so even a 70% call loses three times in ten. Projections are estimates, not guarantees. How it works.