Fantasy · Week 6 · Start or sit
Aaron Rodgers or Jayden Daniels?
Our week 6 call from the head-to-head model, for PPR scoring. It updates as news and lines move.
Our call
Too close to call
Too close to call on projections (15.3 vs 16.2). If you're ahead this week take the higher floor; if you're chasing points take the higher ceiling. If you have to pick one, the numbers lean Jayden Daniels (52%).
Aaron Rodgers outscores Jayden Daniels 48% of the time; Jayden Daniels 52%.
QB, PIT at TB
15.3 projected PPR points
Likely range 8–24 · QB12 this week · Start
Start. Scored 22 points last game against a typical 12.6 (trending up).
QB, WAS at SF
16.2 projected PPR points
Likely range 8–26 · QB10 this week · Start
Start. Scored 32.3 points last game against a typical 12.7 (trending up).
Side by side
| Aaron Rodgers | Jayden Daniels | |
|---|---|---|
| 15.3 | Projected points | 16.2 |
| 8.0 | Floor (a bad day) | 8.4 |
| 24.1 | Ceiling (a big day) | 25.5 |
| TB +5% | Matchup | SF -6% |
| ~21 pts | Team's expected score | ~23 pts |
| Healthy | Health | Healthy |
| Hot ▲ | Recent form | Hot ▲ |
| High | Our confidence | High |
Open this matchup in the start/sit tool to switch to half-PPR or standard, or to say whether you're protecting a lead or need a big game.
Related matchups this week
The chance is a model estimate that treats the two scores as independent. Fantasy scoring is noisy, so even a 70% call loses three times in ten. Projections are estimates, not guarantees. How it works.